He writes, in passing, something with disturbing implications:
The risk continues to be that investors at some point give up on monetary policy and its power to make a difference — and that would be bad for stocks. So rather than plan for a continued indiscriminate rally in US stocks, it is probably better to focus on those that can show some sustained pricing power, and on those that pay a decent yield.That first sentence (emphasis mine) entails a mind-blowing possibility. What it the emperor has no clothes? What if the main (only?) effect of QE is through higher asset valuations? What if QE works because investors think it works and nothing else? What if investors wake up and decide that QE doesn't work?
Post a Comment